GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/25/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UTC Cajamarca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

UTC Cajamarca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UTC Cajamarca hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while UTC Cajamarca holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UTC Cajamarca

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

10.8%

UTC Cajamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UTC CajamarcaWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Comerciantes UnidosLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
66.7Attack16.7
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form16.7
88.7Power36.5
2.04xG1.20
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