Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
UTC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cienciano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Primera División, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
12.0%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00