GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 1/30/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UTC Cajamarca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Grau hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

22.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UTC CajamarcaDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico GrauLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
38.1Attack24.2
46.0Defence66.7
31.7Form34.8
41.3Power44.0
0.81xG0.77
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