UTCvs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
UTC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.5% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
69.0%
Model confidence
15.5%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60