GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Utah Royals W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

14.1%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Utah Royals WLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Diego Wave WLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Utah Royals WSan Diego Wave W
58.3Attack41.7
61.7Defence65.0
60.0Form55.0
60.9Power55.9
1.33xG0.86
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