GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Utah Royals W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

11.7%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Utah Royals WLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Thorns WDLLWD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Utah Royals WPortland Thorns W
58.3Attack56.1
61.7Defence50.9
60.0Form54.4
60.9Power54.6
1.87xG1.16
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