GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Utah Royals W 2-1 North Carolina Courage W

Original prediction

Utah Royals W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9944.8%44.0%-0.8 pts
Draw3.5125.4%22.5%-2.8 pts
Away2.9829.8%33.4%3.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Utah Royals WLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
North Carolina Courage WLLWLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Utah Royals WNorth Carolina Courage W
54.7Attack64.0
56.0Defence50.7
56.0Form52.0
56.8Power55.0
1.74xG1.53
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