Utah Royals Wvs
Kansas City W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/17/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kansas City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utah Royals W 0-2 Kansas City W
Original prediction
Kansas City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.3% | 35.9% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.7% | 28.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.0% | 36.0% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kansas City W
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40