GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Utah Royals W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

79.0%

Model confidence

16.4%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Utah Royals WWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Utah Royals WChicago Red Stars W
58.3Attack15.8
61.7Defence40.4
60.0Form22.8
60.9Power29.8
2.45xG0.49
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