GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Utah Royals W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bay FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

15.6%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Utah Royals WLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bay FC WDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Utah Royals WBay FC W
56.1Attack33.3
63.2Defence55.6
57.9Form35.2
59.8Power43.1
1.69xG0.64
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