GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 9/20/2026, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Utah Royals W 0-3 Angel City W

Original prediction

Utah Royals W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1741.1%38.1%-3.1 pts
Draw3.3826.5%28.8%2.3 pts
Away2.7632.4%33.1%0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Utah Royals WWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Angel City WWDWWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Utah Royals WAngel City W
56.9Attack55.6
58.3Defence61.1
58.3Form50.0
59.1Power56.1
1.44xG1.25
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