GGOALVIO

UT Cotopaxi logoUT CotopaxivsVargas Torres logoVargas Torres

COMPLETED

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 4/5/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UT Cotopaxi are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Vargas Torres are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and UT Cotopaxi hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UT CotopaxiDLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Vargas TorresDDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
UT CotopaxiVargas Torres
41.7Attack25.0
78.3Defence68.5
61.7Form40.7
62.4Power46.9
0.89xG0.31
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