GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 4/16/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UT Cotopaxi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santo Domingo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and UT Cotopaxi hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

36.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UT CotopaxiLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santo DomingoDDWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UT CotopaxiSanto Domingo
41.7Attack27.0
78.3Defence74.6
61.7Form42.9
62.4Power50.1
0.71xG0.33
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