UT CotopaxivsEl Nacional

UT Cotopaxi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while El Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UT Cotopaxi hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.1% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while UT Cotopaxi holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.