USM Oujdavs
Mouloudia Oujda
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola 2 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: USM Oujda 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
USM Oujda 2-1 Mouloudia Oujda
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.7% | 35.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.4% | 33.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 27.9% | 30.4% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
USM Oujda 0–0 Mouloudia Oujda
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
USM OujdaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Mouloudia OujdaLDLDD
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
USM OujdaMouloudia Oujda
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64