Usm El Harrachvs
RC Arba
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Usm El Harrach · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Usm El Harrach 3-1 RC Arba
Original prediction
Usm El Harrach
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.7% | 50.2% | -23.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 19.8% | 27.1% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 13.76 | 6.5% | 22.7% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Usm El Harrach
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Usm El Harrach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80