USM Annabavs
US Chaouia
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
USM Annaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: USM Annaba 1-0 US Chaouia, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
USM Annaba 3-0 US Chaouia
Original prediction
USM Annaba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 45.9% | 41.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.4% | 31.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 22.7% | 27.1% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Projected Score
USM Annaba 1–0 US Chaouia
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
USM Annaba
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
USM Annaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
USM AnnabaWLWLL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
US ChaouiaDLDLW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
USM AnnabaUS Chaouia
55.6Attack11.1
77.8Defence77.8
66.7Form22.2
66.7Power40.2
1.23xG0.70