USM Algervs
JS El Biar
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 9/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
USM Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
USM Alger 2-0 JS El Biar
Original prediction
USM Alger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.8% | 46.6% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 28.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 6.86 | 13.1% | 24.6% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
USM Alger
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
USM Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00