USM Algervs
CR Belouizdad
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 10/24/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: USM Alger 0-0 CR Belouizdad, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
USM Alger 2-2 CR Belouizdad
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.8% | 35.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.1% | 30.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.1% | 34.4% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw 1.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Projected Score
USM Alger 0–0 CR Belouizdad
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
USM AlgerDWLWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CR BelouizdadWWWWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
USM AlgerCR Belouizdad
40.0Attack60.0
80.0Defence66.7
66.7Form86.7
64.6Power75.5
0.97xG0.96