Uskok Klisvs
Varteks Varaždin
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uskok Klis · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uskok Klis 4-1 Varteks Varaždin
Original prediction
Uskok Klis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.4% | 64.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 20.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 5.71 | 15.8% | 14.9% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Uskok Klis
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Uskok Klis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20