Uskok Klisvs
HNK Gorica
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Gorica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uskok Klis 1-3 HNK Gorica
Original prediction
HNK Gorica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.45 | 12.2% | 36.4% | 24.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.20 | 17.4% | 23.3% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 70.4% | 40.3% | -30.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
HNK Gorica
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
HNK Gorica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Uskok KlisWLWWL
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HNK GoricaLDLLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Uskok KlisHNK Gorica
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence55.6
100.0Form66.7
97.0Power60.4
2.39xG1.68