USA leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

USA head into this in World Cup fixture at Levi's Stadium in strong form (WLWLW), while Bosnia & Herzegovina arrive in mixed form (LWLD). USA have a 67% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 25% for Bosnia & Herzegovina over 4 games.

The model rates USA's attack at 78/100 against a 27/100 Bosnia & Herzegovina defence, and Bosnia & Herzegovina's attack at 44/100 against a 46/100 USA backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

USA have won 3 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Bosnia & Herzegovina have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

USA have generated 0.95 xG per game recently while conceding 0.92 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Bosnia & Herzegovina have generated 0.37 xG per game recently while conceding 0.93 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.

USA have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects USA to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: USA 5234%, Draw 2265%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 2501%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Recent form

USA

L

vs Belgium

7 Jul 2026

1–4

xG 0.6

W

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

2 Jul 2026

2–0

xG 0.9

L

@ Türkiye

26 Jun 2026

2–3

W

vs Australia

19 Jun 2026

2–0

xG 1.3

W

vs Paraguay

13 Jun 2026

4–1

Bosnia & Herzegovina

L

@ USA

2 Jul 2026

0–2

xG 0.2

W

vs Qatar

24 Jun 2026

3–1

xG 0.7

L

@ Switzerland

18 Jun 2026

1–4

xG 0.2

D

@ Canada

12 Jun 2026

1–1

Frequently asked questions

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