World Cup
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Belgium leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
USA head into this in World Cup fixture at Lumen Field in strong form (WLWLW), while Belgium arrive in strong form (LWWWD). USA have a 67% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 50% for Belgium over 6 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — USA (78/100) and Belgium (83/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
USA have won 3 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Belgium have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.
USA have generated 0.95 xG per game recently while conceding 0.92 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Belgium have generated 1.93 xG per game recently while conceding 1.35 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 80% of recent matches.
Belgium have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Belgium to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: USA 3347%, Draw 2240%, Belgium 4413%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
USA
Belgium
Frequently asked questions
Who will win USA vs Belgium?
GoalVio's model predicts Belgium to win with 44% confidence.
What is the predicted score for USA vs Belgium?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in USA vs Belgium?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in USA vs Belgium?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.