US Mondorf-les-bainsvs
UNA Strassen
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNA Strassen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
US Mondorf-les-bains 1-2 UNA Strassen
Original prediction
UNA Strassen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.5% | 35.9% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 25.4% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.7% | 38.6% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
UNA Strassen
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
UNA Strassen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20