US Monastiriennevs
US Ben Guerdane
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
US Monastirienne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: US Monastirienne 0-0 US Ben Guerdane, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
US Monastirienne 3-3 US Ben Guerdane
Original prediction
US Monastirienne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.8% | 39.5% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 30.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.34 | 16.9% | 29.6% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Projected Score
US Monastirienne 0–0 US Ben Guerdane
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
US Monastirienne
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
US Monastirienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60