US Monastiriennevs
Stade Tunisien
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: US Monastirienne 0-0 Stade Tunisien, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
US Monastirienne 2-1 Stade Tunisien
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.0% | 36.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.42 | 37.4% | 33.2% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.6% | 30.5% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Projected Score
US Monastirienne 0–0 Stade Tunisien
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
US MonastirienneDWLLW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Stade TunisienDWDLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
US MonastirienneStade Tunisien
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
0.93xG0.80