US Monastiriennevs
Stade Tunisien
SCHEDULEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
US Monastirienne are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Stade Tunisien are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and US Monastirienne hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00