US Monastiriennevs
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: US Monastirienne 0-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
US Monastirienne 1-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 48.6% | 39.0% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 31.7% | 32.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 19.7% | 28.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
US Monastirienne 0–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20