US Hostertvs
UNA Strassen
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNA Strassen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
US Hostert 0-2 UNA Strassen
Original prediction
UNA Strassen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.91 | 11.5% | 10.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.9% | 16.0% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 69.6% | 73.8% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
UNA Strassen
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
UNA Strassen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40