US Hostertvs
FC Differdange 03
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Differdange 03 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
US Hostert 0-2 FC Differdange 03
Original prediction
FC Differdange 03
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.95 | 15.2% | 29.2% | 14.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.4% | 23.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 63.4% | 47.4% | -16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Differdange 03
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
FC Differdange 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40