GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

US Hostert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

US Hostert 0-0 F91 Dudelange

Original prediction

US Hostert

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1528.6%52.1%23.6 pts
Draw3.4026.5%21.8%-4.7 pts
Away2.0144.9%26.0%-18.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

23.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

US Hostert

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

US Hostert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

US HostertWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
F91 DudelangeLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
US HostertF91 Dudelange
72.2Attack33.3
44.4Defence38.9
50.0Form33.3
54.6Power38.7
2.44xG1.13
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