US Chaouiavs
Teleghma
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
US Chaouia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
US Chaouia 1-0 Teleghma
Original prediction
US Chaouia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 03:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.0% | 44.7% | -23.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.7% | 27.9% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 9.50 | 9.4% | 27.5% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
US Chaouia
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
US Chaouia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60