Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Oran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: US Biskra 0-1 MC Oran, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
US Biskra 0-1 MC Oran
Original prediction
MC Oran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.0% | 29.4% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.64 | 34.1% | 31.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.9% | 39.6% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.7 pts
Projected Score
US Biskra 0–1 MC Oran
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
MC Oran
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
MC Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
US BiskraLDLDD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MC OranDWWWD
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
US BiskraMC Oran
16.7Attack33.3
41.7Defence100.0
16.7Form77.8
28.0Power72.8
0.72xG1.21