GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CR Belouizdad · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

US Biskra 0-1 CR Belouizdad

Original prediction

CR Belouizdad

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1121.8%31.6%9.7 pts
Draw2.8731.2%29.5%-1.7 pts
Away1.9147.0%38.9%-8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

CR Belouizdad

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

CR Belouizdad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

US BiskraDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CR BelouizdadWDDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
US BiskraCR Belouizdad
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power64.8
1.20xG1.25
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