GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/3/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

US Ben Guerdane are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stade Tunisien are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stade Tunisien hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

US Ben GuerdaneLL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Stade TunisienWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
US Ben GuerdaneStade Tunisien
32.1Attack34.8
66.7Defence77.3
38.5Form53.0
47.0Power57.1
0.46xG0.67
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