US Ben Guerdanevs
CS Hammam-Lif
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
US Ben Guerdane · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: US Ben Guerdane 1-0 CS Hammam-Lif, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
US Ben Guerdane 1-0 CS Hammam-Lif
Original prediction
US Ben Guerdane
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.6% | 46.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.5% | 29.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 18.9% | 24.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
US Ben Guerdane 1–0 CS Hammam-Lif
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
US Ben Guerdane
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
US Ben Guerdane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80