US Ben Guerdanevs
Club Africain
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: US Ben Guerdane 0-0 Club Africain, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
US Ben Guerdane 2-1 Club Africain
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.31 | 17.2% | 31.5% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 33.4% | 31.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 49.4% | 37.0% | -12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
US Ben Guerdane 0–0 Club Africain
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
US Ben GuerdaneWDDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club AfricainDWWWD
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
US Ben GuerdaneClub Africain
58.3Attack33.3
58.3Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power83.3
1.00xG0.91