Uruguay Montevideovs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 Tacuarembo, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Uruguay Montevideo 2-2 Tacuarembo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.7% | 36.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.5% | 33.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.8% | 30.4% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.87 · Draw 1.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Uruguay Montevideo 0–0 Tacuarembo
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Uruguay MontevideoLDLLW
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TacuaremboLLLWD
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
33.3Attack23.2
59.4Defence62.3
36.2Form34.8
45.1Power42.9
0.81xG0.53