GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 4/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uruguay Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tacuarembo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Uruguay Montevideo hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Segunda División, while Uruguay Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Uruguay Montevideo

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

23.1%

Uruguay Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Uruguay MontevideoWLWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
TacuaremboLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
38.6Attack26.3
61.4Defence61.4
42.1Form36.8
49.4Power44.2
0.97xG0.55
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