GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 3/20/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uruguay Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Uruguay Montevideo are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SUD America are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Uruguay Montevideo hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Segunda División, while Uruguay Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Uruguay Montevideo

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Uruguay Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Uruguay MontevideoLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
SUD AmericaWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Uruguay MontevideoSUD America
38.6Attack27.1
61.4Defence53.1
42.1Form27.1
49.4Power38.0
1.20xG0.55
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