Uruguay Montevideovs
Rentistas
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 Rentistas, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Uruguay Montevideo 1-3 Rentistas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.0% | 30.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 31.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 37.7% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Uruguay Montevideo 0–0 Rentistas
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Uruguay MontevideoLDLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RentistasLWWWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Uruguay MontevideoRentistas
33.3Attack36.0
58.7Defence65.3
34.7Form48.0
44.4Power52.0
0.72xG0.84