GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.5% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

22.5%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Uruguay MontevideoLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Plaza ColoniaWWLWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Uruguay MontevideoPlaza Colonia
38.6Attack43.9
61.4Defence75.4
42.1Form56.1
49.4Power59.4
0.59xG0.96
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