Uruguay Montevideovs
Paysandu
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Paysandu are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Uruguay Montevideo hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring a draw with 16.1% confidence, a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
16.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40