GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 6/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uruguay Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Miramar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Uruguay Montevideo hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Segunda División, while Uruguay Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Uruguay Montevideo

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

19.2%

Uruguay Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Uruguay MontevideoLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MiramarDWDLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Uruguay MontevideoMiramar
38.6Attack31.6
61.4Defence57.9
42.1Form33.3
49.4Power43.2
1.06xG0.65
View match centre →