Uruguay Montevideovs
La Luz
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 La Luz, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 La Luz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.4% | 38.5% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.7% | 28.9% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Uruguay Montevideo 0–0 La Luz
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Uruguay MontevideoLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
La LuzLLDLW
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Uruguay MontevideoLa Luz
36.5Attack27.0
57.1Defence63.5
38.1Form38.1
46.0Power44.8
0.86xG0.63