Uruguay Montevideovs
Fenix
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 6/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fenix are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
16.4%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20