Uruguay Montevideovs
Colón
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colón · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 Colón, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Uruguay Montevideo 1-3 Colón
Original prediction
Colón
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.2% | 29.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.4% | 32.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.4% | 38.5% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Projected Score
Uruguay Montevideo 0–0 Colón
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Colón
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Colón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Uruguay MontevideoLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColónDLLDL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Uruguay MontevideoColón
32.1Attack34.6
55.6Defence65.4
32.1Form48.1
42.2Power51.5
0.69xG0.87