Uruguay MontevideovsCerrito

Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cerrito are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerrito hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.8% in the Segunda División, while Uruguay Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.