Uruguay Montevideovs
CA River Plate
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uruguay Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CA River Plate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.4 against 47.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Segunda División, while Uruguay Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uruguay Montevideo
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
14.2%
Uruguay Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80