Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enisey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Urozhay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Enisey are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Enisey hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the First League, while Enisey holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Enisey
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Enisey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60