Urena SCvs
Zamora FC B
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/20/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urena SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Urena SC 0-3 Zamora FC B
Original prediction
Urena SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.8% | 53.3% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 24.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.1% | 22.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Urena SC
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Urena SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20